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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?

Probability

23¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$5.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+4.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 19.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6015.3h

    LOW
  • 13:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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