Will the NYSE choose Base?
Probability
18¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$193.65
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 30.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6008.9h
- 20:07SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 18¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.4pp at 2d ago (to 4¢).
Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:07 · +3.5pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +4.4pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +3.9pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · -13.4pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -14.4pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -14.0pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · +4.0pp → 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (30.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.