CryptoMulti-outcomeExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will the NYSE develop its own chain?

Probability

34¢

1h

-5.5pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$84.51

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 34¢; -5.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 52.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6008.9h

    LOW
  • 20:06Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.

Biggest hourly move: -21.5pp at 17:00 (to 25¢).

Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · -7.5pp → 36¢
  • 19:00 · -19.0pp → 29¢
  • 17:00 · -21.5pp → 25¢
  • 15:00 · -11.5pp → 38¢
  • 14:00 · +6.0pp → 34¢
  • 12:00 · -10.0pp → 35¢
  • 11:00 · +12.0pp → 40¢
  • 09:00 · -6.5pp → 35¢
  • 08:00 · +3.0pp → 34¢
  • 07:00 · +11.0pp → 44¢
  • 03:00 · -5.0pp → 38¢
  • 02:00 · -13.5pp → 31¢
  • 00:00 · -3.5pp → 37¢
  • 21:00 · -3.5pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · -4.5pp → 42¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · -3.5pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -8.5pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · -18.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +14.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -7.5pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +18.0pp → 44¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (52.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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