Worthy-Teen
0x516d99159930cbae003756af74fecf61159903e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$-44.6K
Realised
$-184.07
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2080 shares @ 59.4¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$460.15
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
3200 shares @ 31.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$410.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1320 shares @ 74.8¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$993.16
$6.37
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
1351 shares @ 70.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$925.43
$-32.13
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1220 shares @ 61.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$762.50
$13.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$435.00
$-95.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$435.00
$-95.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
500 shares @ 68.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$382.49
$42.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
900 shares @ 43.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$373.50
$-18.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
691 shares @ 59.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$342.14
$-67.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.27Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$614.52Jul 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$192.60Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$258.62Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$68.00Jul 27, 23:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$84.42Jul 24, 13:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$9.00Jul 23, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$10.76Jul 23, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$5.24Jul 23, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$0.80Jul 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$2.00Jul 23, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$12.20Jul 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$0.09Jul 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$35.38Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$3.09Jul 23, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $76.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.