Medium-Rainbow
0x6020c638bda4246981d963d525ba2ce61186e249
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$589.37
Total PnL
$-484.53
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$100.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 63.8¢·now 68.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$68.30
$4.50
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$50.00
$12.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.97
$11.97
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$45.50
$24.50
- NO
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.39
$0.20
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$35.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.40
$0.20
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$29.25
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$13.805h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$46.176h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?$2.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$17.629h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$10.409h ago
- TRADESELLWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $26.108d ago
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?$74.1013d ago
- REWARD$0.4519d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$7.2720d ago
- REDEEMWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$50.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?$50.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$50.0020d ago
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?$50.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?$93.1020d ago
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$100.0020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $51.6020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?$1.8020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?$0.3221d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?$0.3221d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?$0.3221d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 32d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
