Evil-Mat
0xaa8d8adf77ce386bf167fea25e5924c6c1fafc01
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$386.65
Total PnL
$-293.52
Realised
$-23.53
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
764 shares @ 81.5¢·now 46.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$356.41
$-266.25
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 79.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$23.28
$4.32
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$-4.75
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.32
$-2.92
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 47.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.09
$-0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?$0.25Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$36.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$292.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMHamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winner$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri (The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$608.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?$649.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ET$0.00Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$716.50Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?$496.65Apr 21, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$12.54Apr 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$78.66Apr 21, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$21.34Apr 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$5.94Apr 21, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $231.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.