Natural-Similarity
0xa8591d3ca69395914cc3de17727c7af62de35a4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$48.64
Total PnL
$-23.27
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.25
$2.05
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
8 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$7.50
$5.92
- NO
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
8 shares @ 76.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.92
$0.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.00
$4.75
- NO
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.96
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$4.87
$3.11
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$0.66
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
8 shares @ 19.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.99
$0.56
- YES
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.98
$-0.63
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.27
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$3.35Mar 19, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$6.02Mar 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.57Mar 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$0.06Mar 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$4.22Mar 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Bulls$8.00Mar 18, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$0.30Mar 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$1.45Mar 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$1.50Mar 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea missile test/launch by March 31?$3.67Mar 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin$2.00Mar 18, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$6.20Mar 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.04Mar 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLJazz vs. Timberwolves$0.60Mar 18, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$2.35Mar 18, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18?$3.90Mar 18, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Timberwolves$0.65Mar 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.34Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$5.28Mar 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$4.20Mar 18, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".