Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Probability
18¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$27.0K
Liquidity
$24.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 122.4h
- 21:37PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 18¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 16¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 26¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 18¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 18¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 17¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 16¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 14¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 14¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 14¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.5pp
to 14¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.0pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.0pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 14¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -50.0pp
to 14¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 20¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://pythdata.app/explore
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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