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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in April?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+3.0pp

24h Vol

$1.0K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:08
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 144.9h

    LOW
  • 03:08Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 145h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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