SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)

Probability

32¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$4.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 32¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 182.2h

    LOW

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 32¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventMadrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Anastasia Potapova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ostapenko" if Jelena Ostapenko wins by 2 or more sets than Anastasia Potapova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Potapova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official WTA resultOfficial sports result
wtatennis.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket