Hoarse-Control
0x00c091b287196c418a62b936905eb1a9b8da4314
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.96
Total PnL
$-95.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
671 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.44
$2.44
- YES
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.52
$0.01
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
4926 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.99
- NO
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
1136 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
470 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?
282 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$4.99May 26, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?$0.00May 26, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$306.73May 20, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$38.42May 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$55.11May 9, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?$0.09May 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.43May 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.85May 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$2.08May 5, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.87May 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.86May 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$228.73May 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rihanna attend the Met Gala?$0.23May 5, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna attend the Met Gala?$20.92May 5, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$31.12May 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?$19.19May 4, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?$9.63May 4, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$20.76May 4, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 4, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$10.00May 3, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $25.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.