Vigorous-Result
0x01697517573f6fc69b086fb3dbf483bd9aa80096
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$190.25
Total PnL
$-865.66
Realised
$-76.07
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$104.17
$4.17
- YES
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$40.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
97 shares @ 31.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$17.87
$-12.13
- YES
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$9.87
$-5.13
- YES
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$7.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
309 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.55
$-62.45
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
155 shares @ 26.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.63
$-39.37
- NO
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
5 shares @ 41.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.58
$-1.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$40.34Jun 12, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.03Jun 12, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.07Jun 12, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.98Jun 9, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.01Jun 9, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.53Jun 8, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$42.21Jun 8, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$156.41Jun 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.35Jun 8, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$100.64Jun 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$99.62Jun 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$187.36Jun 7, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.58Jun 7, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$72.95Jun 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.03Jun 7, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$7.15Jun 4, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.01Jun 4, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$102.88Jun 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$94.43Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.04Jun 3, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.