Lone-Thread
0x07d1a5fdb08f5be80d2caceff6906dd121bef125
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$26.90
Total PnL
$-14.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
27 shares @ 27.5¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$7.09
$-0.40
- YES
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
39 shares @ 28.8¢·now 16.2¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.37
$-4.95
- YES
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-10?
17 shares @ 29.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$6.37
$1.48
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 7.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.65
$-0.05
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
29 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-0.44
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
249 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.12
$-1.87
- YES
Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
685 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- YES
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-28?
43 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.901d ago
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$2.676d ago
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.686d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.206d ago
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.206d ago
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$4.986d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$11.568d ago
- TRADEBUYWill LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-28?$5.2811d ago
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$5.2711d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$3.1611d ago
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.0811d ago
- REDEEMWill FBC Melgar win on 2026-04-27?$0.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$5.9812d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FBC Melgar win on 2026-04-27?$5.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-10?$5.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.7012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$12.2012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.5012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$10.6712d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
