Zany-Waiting
0x0832f04863139dbbeeff45a481ffc0e336c88681
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 65.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-988.09
- YES
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
471 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-66.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 23?
141 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-27.16
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
136 shares @ 72.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?
128 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.26
- NO
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
108 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-97.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?
108 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-36.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 23?
107 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?
102 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 3?
102 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$106.00Jun 7, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$107.00Jun 7, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$108.90Jun 7, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$111.76Jun 7, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$50.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$52.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$52.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$53.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$63.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$106.42Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$118.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$119.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$246.00Jun 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$3.54Jun 4, 00:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$8.23Jun 4, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.30Jun 3, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$0.38Jun 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$15.50Jun 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$47.45Jun 3, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $21.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.