Genuine-Polo
0x08a6ec01bf60bfacbde86ee1e61ff2e0d566f1bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$183.61
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?
99 shares @ 46.4¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$93.17
$47.24
- YES
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
1124 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.04
$-28.09
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2316 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.37
$-120.09
- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
1 shares @ 56.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.61
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
8000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.99
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
3072 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-384.58
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?
1451 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.06
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
1180 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.51
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next video?
1100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
1028 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-198.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?$13.66Jun 15, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?$33.25Jun 14, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$23.19Jun 8, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$817.44Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$40.56Jun 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$6.00Jun 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$96.00Jun 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$99.64Jun 3, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$785.08Jun 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$314.15Jun 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.64Jun 2, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14.56Jun 2, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21.83Jun 2, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14.04Jun 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.36Jun 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$2.50May 29, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.0KMay 23, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.94May 23, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$279.44May 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?$44.05May 23, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $159.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.