Essential-Diarist
0x0a7aaf83341b52df34e8ffef52aa295538d6df1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$27.0K
Total PnL
$6.4K
Realised
$3.9K
Win rate
99%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20686 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.4K
$10.0K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$335.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
750 shares @ 29.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$464.99
$247.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$335.12
$290.85
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 15.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$309.00
$269.87
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20686 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$299.95
$-10.0K
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1826 shares @ 9.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$283.02
$104.99
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$237.50
$12.50
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 20.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.91
$176.71
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
3500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.24
$170.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?$0.00Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$5.46Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$9.97Jun 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$0.11Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$2.00Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.63Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$187.51Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$0.01Jun 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?$3.00Jun 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$2.50Jun 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$10.00Jun 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$5.28Jun 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.74Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$6.12Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$0.07Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.13Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$0.02Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.