Useful-Industrialisation
0x0abefadf8f468fd2b122434601d7429094a0defe
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$168.13
Total PnL
$-16.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
168 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$168.13
$15.13
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?
32 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?
18 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?$153.55Jun 28, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.17Jun 28, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$20.00Jun 28, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$36.27Jun 28, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$84.59Jun 28, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$84.00May 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$35.05May 14, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$18.05May 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$19.33May 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$19.83May 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$21.04May 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$25.71May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$18.73Apr 27, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$17.00Apr 27, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$9.00Apr 27, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$22.49Apr 27, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$5.22Apr 27, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$27.17Apr 27, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$18.40Apr 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$19.00Apr 20, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $345.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.