Fragrant-Dandelion
0x140891ee5c1214859198b80f0a5a4880ba57b4f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$806.26
Total PnL
$-660.91
Realised
$-648.34
Win rate
56%
150 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- NO
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
70 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$70.03
$0.61
- NO
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$49.67
$0.06
- NO
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
42 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$42.17
$0.55
- NO
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
42 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$41.85
$0.55
- NO
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
41 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$41.18
$0.20
- NO
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
40 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$39.98
$0.31
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
39 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$39.20
$0.14
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
32 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$31.72
$0.42
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$29.98
$0.13
- NO
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$29.98
$0.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.00Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.00Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.00Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$5.00Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.08Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$1.00Jun 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.04Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$5.31Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$2.29Jun 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$4.79Jun 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?$0.04Jun 11, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.02Jun 10, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$5.00Jun 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.99Jun 10, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 9, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00Jun 9, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$1.09Jun 9, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 150 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.