0x14b2f9e5b0fa76d877e307aa82d296691d2dac16
0x14b2f9e5b0fa76d877e307aa82d296691d2dac16
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$467.21
Total PnL
$-94.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
81 shares @ 39.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.99
$31.50
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
106 shares @ 35.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.57
$10.57
- NO
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
150 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$43.50
$10.50
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
167 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.29
$-2.51
- YES
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
93 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.52
$-6.47
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
35 shares @ 31.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.18
$15.43
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
137 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.37
$-9.62
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
66 shares @ 40.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.76
$-3.64
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
49 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.02
$2.23
- YES
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
103 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$19.53
$-17.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?$15.401h ago
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$92.504h ago
- REDEEMWill Stephen Miller be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?$0.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$3.8411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.4011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$6.5214h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$13.6715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$6.3015h ago
- REDEEMWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$5.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$76.342d ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$32.852d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$7.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$0.072d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$27.932d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$2.512d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?$4.692d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?$2.832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?$1.552d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$6.613d ago
- TRADESELLWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$58.743d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
