Adept-Creek
0x1580635b8ff5719ba16d0a4aaa3bc187ef7c2758
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$8.49
Total PnL
$-140.85
Realised
$41.98
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.45
$1.55
- YES
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 8.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.28
$1.81
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.13
$0.12
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.78
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.40
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
34 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-1.70
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?
1055 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.75Jun 1, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 22, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 22, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 22, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$5.00May 22, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.65May 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?$2.55Apr 29, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?$1.39Apr 29, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.04Apr 29, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.04Apr 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$1.02Apr 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.01Apr 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$1.02Apr 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$1.25Apr 15, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$0.78Apr 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$0.09Apr 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$0.12Apr 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$1.02Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 12, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.