Informal-Mambo
0x1b21b98ccb0172219591c9dd31566efeab4285fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$84.59
Total PnL
$-4.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
93 shares @ 80.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.78
$0.78
- NO
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.40
$0.40
- NO
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Mar 21, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 21, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?$0.00Mar 21, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Mar 21, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$0.00Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by March 31?$0.00Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Syria next?$0.00Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$0.00Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMUK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?$6.67Mar 2, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$10.24Mar 1, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMPeter Attia out by February 15?$3.63Feb 20, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by February 14?$6.76Feb 20, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$7.25Feb 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$75.00Feb 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$75.76Feb 8, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$15.00Feb 7, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$61.00Feb 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$7.13Feb 7, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $11.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.