Candid-Scam
0x1b4748e7b30e32f37b360abfc97b91645ca78191
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$641.33
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-16.31
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
496 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$496.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Bennedict Mathurin win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
93 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.00
$1.02
- NO
Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
52 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.00
$3.64
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 14.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.33
$0.19
- UNDER
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
785 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-557.35
- NO
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
487 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-379.86
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
416 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-349.44
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
386 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.29
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 6PM ET
317 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-155.32
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
208 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$202.50Apr 27, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$66.82Apr 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$126.62Apr 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$195.00Apr 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$193.44Apr 23, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$3.00Apr 13, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$67.00Apr 13, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$547.00Apr 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$379.86Apr 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$379.60Apr 9, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$321.20Apr 7, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$321.88Mar 30, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$359.02Mar 29, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$359.15Mar 26, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$424.45Mar 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$280.16Mar 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$107.10Mar 22, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$37.00Mar 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$320.47Mar 20, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$431.58Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $248.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.