Stimulating-Permit
0x1baeaea8f6b0b5476642c8710ae3150fea3e7e8c
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$168.26
Total PnL
$-258.22
Realised
$-89.60
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.54
$3.54
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$8.48
$3.48
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.19
$3.19
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
21 shares @ 20.7¢·now 35.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.49
$3.18
- YES
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.32
$2.31
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.19
$2.19
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.81
$1.81
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 92.4¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.47
$1.64
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.25
$1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$5.109h ago
- TRADEBUYSS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5$0.8622h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$11.511d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$5.091d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$5.101d ago
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$10.091d ago
- TRADESELLLiverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5$7.501d ago
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5$5.051d ago
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5$5.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$5.071d ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$10.082d ago
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$10.222d ago
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$4.782d ago
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$10.102d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$7.422d ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$13.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$6.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$4.953d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.123d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
