Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
69¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$23.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+24.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 567.0h
- 08:58SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 69¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 69¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 69¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 68¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 68¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 68¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 68¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 68¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 68¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 68¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 68¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 68¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 69¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 70¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 71¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 59¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).