Natural-Carrot
0x1d5728c3b2934d8cf78ceaa46738ce45990d3f78
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$218.08
Total PnL
$16.63
Realised
$3.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
26 shares @ 22.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$26.30
$20.30
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
27 shares @ 47.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$22.22
$9.54
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
40 shares @ 50.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.04
$2.04
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
57 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.91
$2.91
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
13 shares @ 37.8¢·now 47.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.31
$1.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.11Jun 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.11Jun 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.11Jun 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$5.08Jun 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$10.15Jun 5, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.00Jun 5, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.15Jun 5, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.07Jun 5, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00Jun 5, 16:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".