Vague-Mailer
0x1df6cefeba8a7abe4c466bd561ad5395b72079df
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$167.43
Total PnL
$12.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
57 shares @ 61.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.75
$7.75
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.17
$3.17
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.87
$2.87
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
52 shares @ 57.6¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$31.23
$1.23
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
47 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$27.42
$-2.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$30.00May 11, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$35.00May 11, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$30.51May 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$30.00May 11, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$30.00May 11, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $31.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".