Famous-Corporal
0x219f02f9a127ad6225db2e7e5175f3c937ae12d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-471.89
Realised
$52.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
109 shares @ 91.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.01
$9.01
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
86 shares @ 92.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$85.95
$5.95
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
77 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$76.49
$6.49
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$72.33
$3.13
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
44 shares @ 91.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.57
$1.57
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
44 shares @ 88.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.26
$2.16
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
48 shares @ 62.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.80
$10.80
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
42 shares @ 62.9¢·now 82.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.71
$8.29
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$29.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 85.7¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.78
$-2.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$10.00Jul 5, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$10.00Jul 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?$20.06Jul 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$10.15Jul 4, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$10.13Jul 4, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 4, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$10.01Jul 4, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?$10.04Jul 4, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.00Jul 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.00Jul 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.00Jul 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$10.00Jul 4, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$10.00Jul 4, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$10.00Jul 4, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?$5.75Jul 4, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$72.19Jul 4, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$10.00Jul 3, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $11.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.