0x21cfdb1e8dee44b4f38e273b9b5b7605043ffcfb
0x21cfdb1e8dee44b4f38e273b9b5b7605043ffcfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$18.50
Total PnL
$2.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$6.52
$4.50
- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.46
$1.07
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.29
$0.79
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.25
$0.75
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.52
- NO
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
9 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.12May 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.08May 5, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$2.98May 5, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.00May 1, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 30, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 30, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.