Embellished-Scratch-Board
0x23cb220de129746606454a7b27e4ba1e4b6b0357
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$371.12
Total PnL
$-28.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
51 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$35.44
$1.27
- NO
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
52 shares @ 57.2¢·now 57.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$30.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
25 shares @ 80.8¢·now 80.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.84
$-0.16
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.80
$-0.20
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.72
$-0.28
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$20.00May 17, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$20.00May 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$20.00May 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$20.41May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$20.15May 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.00May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$20.18May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$20.41May 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?$20.58May 17, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$20.15May 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$20.12May 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$20.14May 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$20.25May 17, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$20.32May 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$1.15May 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$2.12May 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$4.73May 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$4.80May 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$34.73May 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "La Brea: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?$3.72May 17, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $13.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".