Tall-Rhinoceros
0x24d54c36179f6b50ddc7fff4ccd42cbcd9d5dcac
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$7.47
Total PnL
$-58.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.08
$2.08
- YES
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
86 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
10 shares @ 41.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.46
$-3.54
- YES
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$3.03Jun 30, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jun 30, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jun 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$4.24May 25, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$3.05May 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$2.04May 21, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$14.48May 20, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.03May 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.04May 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.04May 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.04May 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.04May 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.04May 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$1.04May 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.00May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$3.03May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.80May 18, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.11May 16, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.