Obedient-Fragrance
0x24ea7cc6e15df2ee0d0105c819050af93e6b8665
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$257.03
Total PnL
$-17.78
Realised
$-1.24
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$9.75
$8.75
- YES
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$3.80
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
4 shares @ 52.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.00
$1.90
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
1113 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.78
$-0.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.77
$1.57
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.68
$1.40
- NEW YORK METS
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
6 shares @ 42.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.55
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.52
$1.50
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.49
$-0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.38
$0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$1.31May 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.25May 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$1.25May 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.62May 15, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings$0.00May 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?$1.44May 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$1.04May 15, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMCordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadelli$0.00May 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.10May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.37May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$1.03May 15, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$0.00May 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?$1.47May 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$1.07May 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$1.47May 15, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$0.00May 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$1.03May 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$1.23May 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$3.34May 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)$1.49May 15, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".