Paltry-Wink
0x25662928f3bb586f718be43a614d68867b33b996
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$40.53
Total PnL
$-844.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
1230 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.84
$-5.54
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.16
$4.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.99
$-3.23
- YES
Netanyahu out by July 31?
1082 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.54
$-199.46
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
404 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
322 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-155.50
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
307 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
170 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
157 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-104.51
- YES
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?
99 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-79.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$100.00Jun 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$100.00Jun 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$9.00Jun 7, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$25.00Jun 7, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$9.50Jun 7, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 7?$45.00Jun 7, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 7?$14.97Jun 6, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 7?$5.28Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$20.00May 18, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$11.33May 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 12, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$364.62May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$12.60May 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.43May 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$29.57May 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.14May 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.29May 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$9.65May 11, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $24.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.