Honest-Churn
0x2633714d653752553c5c1ec4be856c21f02e67b1
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$220.06
Total PnL
$-436.34
Realised
$32.07
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
366 shares @ 12.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.60
$11.34
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
120 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.40
$-0.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.24
$4.24
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 47.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$30.65
$-40.34
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
341 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$25.54
$-25.41
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
226 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19 shares @ 26.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.43
$1.29
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
100 shares @ 6.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.45
$-5.15
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
16 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.05
$-6.95
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$15.532d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$2.192d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$0.832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$9.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$0.832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$0.902d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$9.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$0.832d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$0.902d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$9.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.003d ago
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$10.003d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$10.003d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$16.076d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.2610d ago
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$20.9611d ago
- REDEEMIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$60.0311d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11.0024d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.0224d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 182d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.