Dearest-Cowbell-Crunch
0x282e29ba8b717c9941f49e40d6cd7970aee4e8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-705.63
Realised
$85.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4177 shares @ 66.8¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$-511.74
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1301 shares @ 76.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$994.95
$-5.04
- NO
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
340 shares @ 96.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$250.05
$-77.95
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
2093 shares @ 13.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$148.41
$-138.04
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
453 shares @ 44.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.30
$-52.70
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
54 shares @ 83.1¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.08
$0.59
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 75.1¢·now 79.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.22
$0.22
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-0.61
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
47 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$9.89Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$9.92Jun 13, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$5.82Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.00Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.6KJun 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.7KJun 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$34.10Jun 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$315.00Jun 12, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$347.27Jun 12, 17:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$5.99Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$22.60Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$22.60Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$22.60Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$22.60Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$26.00Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$5.40Jun 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$130.70Jun 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$6.60Jun 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$8.52Jun 11, 06:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $146.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.