Talkative-Amount
0x28479383db3df8080f2c064c541072c83362952f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-332.06
Realised
$11.16
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
199 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$146.56
$-14.63
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
135 shares @ 70.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$132.16
$37.66
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 72.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.50
$27.00
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
100 shares @ 38.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$100.00
$61.41
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
90 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.50
$12.10
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
120 shares @ 81.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$81.00
$-16.20
- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.00
$10.98
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
60 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.29
$13.29
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
55 shares @ 69.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.40
$15.95
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
49 shares @ 65.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.85
$11.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$6.00Jun 2, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?$4.29May 1, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$5.00May 1, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$15.00May 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$40.00May 1, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$79.00May 1, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$1.33Apr 29, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$15.00Apr 29, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$25.00Apr 29, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$218.99Apr 25, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$0.00Apr 23, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$0.00Apr 22, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$0.00Apr 18, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 18, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$0.00Apr 18, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win at least 110 seats?$20.00Apr 14, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$5.00Apr 13, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$12.55Apr 11, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.