Ashamed-Dishwasher
0x28fcfce0a2910e031ab59fc5dc76487e94504e92
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.80
Total PnL
$-162.31
Realised
$3.83
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
36 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.02
$-5.97
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
383 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
289 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?$0.26Jul 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$1.00Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.65Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?$1.44Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$3.80Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?$1.41Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$5.46Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?$7.03Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.19Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$5.99Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$4.30Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$2.78Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.96Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.30Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.92Jul 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 30, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$1.00Jun 30, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.