Spherical-Number
0x29dc1a453a38bd8e926e524ec470b883603f7081
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$102.18
Total PnL
$-293.81
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- NO
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
10 shares @ 74.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.81
$2.36
- NO
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
12 shares @ 63.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.94
$0.55
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
9 shares @ 86.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.77
$0.25
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
8 shares @ 71.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.51
$1.52
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
7 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.44
$1.50
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
8 shares @ 72.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.34
$0.61
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 68.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.16
$1.11
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
9 shares @ 61.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$5.74
$-0.11
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
7 shares @ 65.1¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$0.92
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.96
$0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$8.23Jul 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$4.05Jul 3, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$2.84Jul 3, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner$0.30Jul 3, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner$125.29Jul 3, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner$130.16Jul 3, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$1.00Jul 2, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$1.50Jul 2, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $3.66Jul 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Putin by December 31?$2.01Jul 2, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?$0.05Jul 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?$0.05Jul 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?$1.35Jul 2, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance$1.44Jul 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?$1.03Jul 1, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$4.80Jul 1, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$3.85Jul 1, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)$1.54Jul 1, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$12.03Jun 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?$1.80Jun 29, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.