Smoggy-Carboxyl
0x2f123ad12d8d7f90b9bbfc26cc58fae2bd26a56a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$93.21
Total PnL
$-1.83
Realised
$7.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
81 shares @ 18.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$66.46
$51.46
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$8.11
$5.11
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.88
$-0.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.15
$-2.85
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 21.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
28 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.01
$-9.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$3.06Jun 3, 20:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05Jun 1, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 1, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 1, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 1, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 1, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$156.65Jun 1, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.28May 27, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.52May 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$42.82May 25, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.00Apr 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.00Apr 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.00Apr 19, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.78Apr 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.00Mar 14, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.00Mar 14, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".