0x31e01932f4ef4ae309df54ecf804a91e8f39bd03
0x31e01932f4ef4ae309df54ecf804a91e8f39bd03
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$92.67
Total PnL
$-11.68
Realised
$9.58
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
60 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$60.00
$0.42
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.15
$-0.05
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 58.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.88
$2.62
- NO
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.01
$0.09
- YES
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
23 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.79
$-0.34
- YES
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
11 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$-0.05
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.28
$-0.26
- YES
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-0.39
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.04
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-2.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$8.20Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.12Jun 9, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.56Jun 7, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.99Jun 5, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$9.25Jun 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$11.10Jun 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.68Jun 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.96May 27, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$11.12May 23, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.32Apr 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.32Apr 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$3.85Apr 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.08Apr 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.04Apr 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$7.12Apr 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$3.97Apr 23, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$7.52Apr 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $6.32Apr 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.89Apr 23, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.05Apr 21, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.