Definite-Election
0x3247dc03738107fdbcf9430c155a247339b03fcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$713.96
Total PnL
$-37.68
Realised
$-3.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.50
$-10.50
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.20
$1.20
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
135 shares @ 74.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.54
$-3.46
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.80
$-12.20
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
63 shares @ 79.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.82
$9.82
- NO
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.49
$1.49
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.38
$0.38
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$5.00
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.86
$0.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
17 shares @ 60.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.35
$3.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.15Jun 14, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.09Jun 14, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.03Jun 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.00Jun 14, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$5.12Jun 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$5.15Jun 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$20.34Jun 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$200.35Jun 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$50.73Jun 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$100.00Jun 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$10.00Jun 10, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$50.00Jun 10, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$10.28Jun 10, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$194.30Jun 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$200.00Jun 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$50.00Jun 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00Jun 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$20.00Jun 9, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$10.00Jun 9, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $70.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.