Excitable-Replica
0x354c547984ab6a04a35b607cfd3479b8a39bb301
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$65.51
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
861 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$861.00
$353.01
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
471 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$471.00
$254.34
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
201 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.00
$14.07
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
663 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.04
$-26.52
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
124 shares @ 44.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.58
$-17.98
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
79 shares @ 32.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.48
$-15.80
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 55.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$0.01
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
1 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.01
$-0.26
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$592.83Apr 27, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$583.42Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$79.56Apr 24, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$65.66Apr 21, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?$3.67Apr 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?$13.15Apr 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$52.11Apr 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$331.50Apr 11, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$350.37Apr 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$11.96Apr 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$843.64Apr 10, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?$186.74Apr 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$5.09Apr 10, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$201.72Apr 9, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$236.64Apr 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$203.00Apr 9, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$34.02Apr 9, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?$368.48Apr 9, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$54.56Apr 8, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$416.90Apr 8, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $242.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.