Unruly-Plumber
0x358352b3b897c12d1b8650ecb4168c2dbcc4f1f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$14.69
Total PnL
$-539.31
Realised
$-54.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.65
$-2.35
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.04
$1.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
2003 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-102.24
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
1071 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
517 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-152.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
433 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.05
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
308 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
283 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-98.71
- YES
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
283 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.04May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.15May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.06May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.13May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.42May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.19May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$19.19May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$30.42May 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.92May 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$5.96May 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.32May 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$20.93May 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.41May 12, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.