Flickering-Alpha
0x3832289e6aca6b9444f6d9a4a2a8392f434535e1
Quality score
68/100
Open positions
130
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-17.8K
Realised
$268.51
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
836 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$494.42
$-40.58
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
635 shares @ 63.0¢·now 43.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$278.10
$-121.90
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$207.81
$107.81
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
204 shares @ 73.5¢·now 80.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$164.83
$14.89
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
213 shares @ 70.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$155.33
$5.33
- YES
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1051 shares @ 16.2¢·now 13.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$137.13
$-32.87
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
222 shares @ 54.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$136.67
$16.67
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
316 shares @ 38.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$131.05
$11.05
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.44
$11.44
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1053 shares @ 9.5¢·now 10.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$110.00
$10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0315h ago
- YIELD$0.042d ago
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?$283.042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$50.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$15.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$149.942d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$356.632d ago
- YIELD$0.043d ago
- YIELD$0.034d ago
- YIELD$0.035d ago
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$175.435d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$296.006d ago
- YIELD$0.046d ago
- YIELD$0.047d ago
- YIELD$0.038d ago
- YIELD$0.049d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$156.459d ago
- YIELD$0.0410d ago
- YIELD$0.0411d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $116.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.