Warm-Secretary
0x3cafe19c407342bc7cea21424e861c37038c6d8a
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
41
Open notional
$84.2K
Total PnL
$33.7K
Realised
$29.5K
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
56478 shares @ 85.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.3K
$4.1K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
8674 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.4K
$-24.63
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
3188 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.0K
$81.29
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?
1541 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.5K
$-0.39
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1507 shares @ 83.8¢·now 92.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$125.43
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
1092 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.1K
$46.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1077 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.1K
$226.78
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1064 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$984.04
$-15.96
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
997 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$964.35
$47.35
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
973 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$955.40
$40.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$965.8334m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?$80.806h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?$450.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?$30.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?$10.006h ago
- YIELD$3.877h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?$566.947h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?$184.8023h ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$184.8023h ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$9.2K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?$20.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?$100.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?$500.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$500.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?$500.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.8K1d ago
- YIELD$5.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$360.222d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$600.002d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 34m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.