Warm-Secretary
0x3cafe19c407342bc7cea21424e861c37038c6d8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$35.0K
Total PnL
$32.7K
Realised
$33.5K
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
4233 shares @ 89.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.0K
$207.36
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
3634 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$146.62
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?
2567 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$27.50
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
2148 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$33.31
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
2323 shares @ 93.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$-98.94
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2056 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$58.38
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2182 shares @ 79.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$135.76
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1784 shares @ 85.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$146.06
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
1659 shares @ 90.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.6K
$106.30
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1507 shares @ 83.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$137.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$339.03Jun 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$330.00Jun 13, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$139.10Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.78Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$27.30Jun 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.13Jun 12, 16:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$168.32Jun 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?$2.10Jun 11, 01:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?$5.24Jun 9, 06:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$300.08Jun 8, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 1, 13:13 UTC → Jun 1, 13:08 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.0K@72¢Jun 1, 13:08 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$7.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.