Stimulating-Hunter
0x405e87138f4fd255e32632037895b96a76f97289
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$69.62
Total PnL
$-165.27
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
65 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.17
$6.17
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.80
$0.80
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.61
$-2.39
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-1.78
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.06
$-2.94
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.04May 27, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.04May 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.03May 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.04May 27, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$3.86May 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.18May 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$55.02Apr 25, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$51.41Apr 20, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.81Apr 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$4.49Apr 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.11Apr 13, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 13, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 9, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Apr 9, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 9, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$3.08Apr 7, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$8.60Apr 7, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".