Definite-Tone
0x40f9289027fbbf68c5cbaaa9626855cff8d7fbbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$22.32
Total PnL
$-29.12
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.52
$1.27
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3 shares @ 57.3¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$2.01Jun 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.00Jun 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.01Jun 3, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.45Jun 2, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.80Jun 2, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$2.25Jun 1, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.75Jun 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.01May 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.18May 30, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$2.18May 30, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00May 26, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.