Dangerous-Rumor
0x4130533ea3656eb86750bb5fa07d721d2b162fd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$442.24
Win rate
84%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
1554 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-92.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
1177 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-94.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?
1000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 8?
750 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
734 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?
600 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.69
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 8?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.88
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$0.39May 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?$2.35May 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$4.00May 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$20.05May 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 8?$30.73May 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 8?$32.23May 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$32.56May 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$24.37May 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$36.36May 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$91.64May 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 8?$45.39May 9, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 8?$35.09May 9, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 8?$0.30May 9, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Nantes (-1.5)$31.25May 9, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?$39.22May 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 8?$52.57May 9, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.38May 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$25.88May 9, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.87May 9, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.71May 9, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $20.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.