Insecure-Code
0x41386dd629cb5e7d7c690c22dbdc71967fe9d36c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
111
Open notional
$12.21
Total PnL
$-133.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.04
$0.31
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
4 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.46
$0.09
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.95
$-0.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.37
$-0.04
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.08
- YES
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
209 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.94
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 34.2¢·now 15.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.92
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-1.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?
211 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
- UNDER
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5
187 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.50Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.80Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.04Jun 1, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.59Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.67May 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$7.20May 28, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$1.34May 27, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$4.60May 26, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.50May 26, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.84May 26, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.19May 25, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.97May 25, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$2.01May 25, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.02May 25, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.41May 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.03May 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.57May 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.02May 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.65May 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.28May 25, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.