Well-Lit-Grade
0x41d9cacdedfea0c62d6e3f546acebc68e99716a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$92.73
Total PnL
$-22.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
15 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.29
$2.29
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 90.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$14.45
$1.25
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
15 shares @ 82.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.43
$2.43
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
13 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.29
$0.29
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
11 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
23 shares @ 57.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.83
$-5.17
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
5 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.41
$0.41
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 30, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$5.02Apr 30, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$13.00Apr 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$13.00Apr 30, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$7.00Apr 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$6.04Apr 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$7.04Apr 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.11Apr 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$5.08Apr 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.96Apr 30, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$1.57Apr 30, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$3.13Apr 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.79Apr 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.00Apr 15, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$6.21Apr 14, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$3.00Apr 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$3.00Apr 14, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$5.00Apr 14, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Apr 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$7.00Apr 14, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.