Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Probability
25¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$1.3K
Liquidity
$20.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.5h
- 10:31SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 25¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 24¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 24¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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